Actuarial & Risk Insights

Technical perspectives, regulatory updates, and quantitative analysis from the ERMS advisory team.

Capital & Balance SheetJune 27, 2026

IBNR: The Science of Predicting the Past

IBNR is often described as a technical reserve calculation, but its underlying concept is far more interesting. This article explores why claims reserving is, in many ways, the science of predicting the past, and how historical development, actuarial judgement and back-testing help estimate liabilities arising from events that have already occurred

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Enterprise Risk & RegulatoryJune 18, 2026

Oman Listed Insurance Market Intelligence Dashboard

An interactive ERMS dashboard tracking selected listed Omani insurers using publicly available financial disclosures, with a focus on revenue scale, profitability, capital position, company movement, and basis-controlled market intelligence.

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Quantitative InfrastructureJune 13, 2026

AI in Actuarial Work: Speed Is the Opportunity, Control Is the Condition

AI is making actuarial work faster, but speed alone is not the objective. The real opportunity is controlled acceleration: using AI to support investigation, documentation, review, and decision-making while preserving actuarial judgment, governance, and reliability. The strongest actuarial teams will not simply automate faster; they will build faster processes that remain explainable, controlled, and trusted

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Healthcare AdvisoryMay 30, 2026

When Medical Inflation Is Not the Whole Story

Medical inflation remains a major challenge, but it is rarely the entire story. Advanced analytical approaches can help insurers uncover the underlying drivers of portfolio performance and support better decision-making.

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Financial Reporting & IFRSMay 25, 2026

The PAA LRC issue is often a data issue, not a theory issue.

The PAA LRC issue is often less about theory and more about data, system design and close-process evidence. IFRS 4-style balances such as UPR, DAC and premium receivables may help reconcile the result, but they do not replace a controlled IFRS 17 PAA roll-forward by group and cohort

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Financial Reporting & IFRSMarch 27, 2026

Discount-Rate Risk in P&C Reserves

How IFRS 17 introduced a financial-market dimension to P&C reserving in MENA, making reserve movements increasingly sensitive to discount-rate changes rather than only underwriting or claims experience.

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